when mother nature's out to get you, wickedwx has got your back

More weather sites:
cyclocane - hurricanes, typhoons, and cyclones
tornado hq - live tornado tracker
my future radar - radar from the future
severe weather outlook - get your personalized outlook

RIGHT NOW: 4 MDs   1 watch   3 warnings  

TODAY TORNADO: 5% HAIL: 30% WIND: 30%

TOMORROW ANY SEVERE: 5%

DAY 3 ANY SEVERE: 15%

DAY 4-8 ANY SEVERE: < 5%


Severe weather outlook map valid starting Jun 25 16:30 UTC

Legend: non-severe thunderstorms slight risk moderate risk high risk

detailed outlook

5% chance of a tornado (show map)

30% chance of hail 1" or larger and a chance of SIGNIFICANT hail 2" or larger (show map)

30% chance of winds 58 mph or greater and a chance of SIGNIFICANT winds greater than 75 mph (show map)


source: Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

SPC AC 251622

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

VALID 251630Z - 261200Z

...THERE IS AN ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF MN...WI...AND
UPPER MI...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS...

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
AND UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS...

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF GA...SC...AND
NC...

...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT
ACROSS MUCH OF MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN.  A MORE MARGINAL
SEVERE STORM RISK WILL EXTEND SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
 ISOLATED STRONG STORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST.

...UPPER MS VALLEY AND WESTERN GREAT LAKES...
A STRONG UPPER LOW IS TRACKING EASTWARD ALONG THE MT/SASK BORDER. 
MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND LARGE SCALE LIFT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE
WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD MN BY MID AFTERNOON...AIDING IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A COLD FRONT.  THE AIR MASS OVER
MN IS RAPIDLY DESTABILIZING...WITH DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE 70S AND
FULL SUNSHINE YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES OF 3500 J/KG.  INITIAL STORMS
MAY BE SUPERCELLULAR DUE TO FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL
SHEAR...POSING A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO. 
HOWEVER...IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT STORM OUTFLOWS WILL MERGE
RELATIVELY QUICKLY...LEADING TO A PREDOMINANTLY LINEAR STORM MODE. 
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL WINDS AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
PROMOTE A RISK OF RATHER WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS EASTERN MN
INTO WI AND UPPER MI.

...CENTRAL PLAINS...
THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL EXTEND SOUTHWESTWARD FROM MN INTO PARTS OF
IA/NEB/KS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
FORM WITHIN THE FRONTAL ZONE AND PERSIST THROUGH PARTS OF THE
EVENING.  VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE WEAKER AND MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WARMER IN THIS REGION THAN FARTHER NORTH. 
HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
INDICATE THE RISK OF STRONG DOWNDRAFTS IN THE MORE INTENSE CELLS.

...SOUTHEAST STATES...
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG A WEAK BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN GA INTO SC. 
DESPITE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR...HOT AND HUMID LOW LEVEL CONDITIONS
WILL YIELD HIGH CAPE VALUES AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY
GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS IN THE STRONGEST CORES.

..HART/COOK.. 06/25/2016

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z


severe weather links


site by hayley.ws