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TODAY'S STORM REPORTS: 26 since 7AM CDT

RIGHT NOW: 0 MDs   0 watches   0 warnings  

TODAY TORNADO: 2% HAIL: < 5% WIND: 5%

TOMORROW ANY SEVERE: < 5%

DAY 3 ANY SEVERE: < 5%

DAY 4-8 ANY SEVERE: < 5%


Severe weather outlook map valid starting Apr 16 01:00 UTC

Legend: non-severe thunderstorms slight risk moderate risk high risk

detailed outlook

2% chance of a tornado (show map)

< 5% chance of hail 1" or larger (show map)

5% chance of winds 58 mph or greater (show map)


source: Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

SPC AC 160041

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0741 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

VALID 160100Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR THIS EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND FAR EASTERN SOUTH
CAROLINA.

...ERN NC/FAR ERN SC...
WATER VAPOR SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE SRN
APPALACHIAN MTNS. A BAND OF STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS MOVING INTO
THE ATLANTIC COASTAL PLAINS.  AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT IS ADVANCING
EWD ACROSS ERN NC WITH A CONVECTIVE LINE ONGOING ALONG THE FRONT.
SFC DEWPOINTS AHEAD OF THE FRONT ARE IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S F WITH
MUCAPE ESTIMATED AROUND 500 J/KG. THIS ALONG WITH 60 KT OF 0-6 KM
SHEAR AND 40 KT OF SSWLY FLOW JUST ABOVE THE SFC EVIDENT ON THE
MOREHEAD CITY WSR-88D VWP...MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE
THREAT FOR A FEW MORE HOURS EARLY THIS EVENING. THE THREAT SHOULD
DIMINISH AS THE CONVECTIVE LINE MOVES EWD ACROSS CAPE HATTERAS IN
THE 02Z TO 03Z TIMEFRAME.

..BROYLES.. 04/16/2014

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z


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