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RIGHT NOW: 0 MDs   1 watch   6 warnings  

TODAY TORNADO: < 2% HAIL: < 5% WIND: < 5%

TOMORROW ANY SEVERE: < 5%

DAY 3 ANY SEVERE: < 5%

DAY 4-8 ANY SEVERE: < 5%


Severe weather outlook map valid starting Dec 06 16:30 UTC

Legend: non-severe thunderstorms slight risk moderate risk high risk

detailed outlook

< 2% chance of a tornado (show map)

< 5% chance of hail 1" or larger (show map)

< 5% chance of winds 58 mph or greater (show map)


source: Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

SPC AC 061617

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1017 AM CST TUE DEC 06 2016

VALID 061630Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF FLORIDA...TENNESSEE...AND
THE CAROLINAS THIS AFTERNOON.

...CENTRAL FLORIDA...
A VIGOROUS MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY AND INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.  AN
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL
FL...PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY.  AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND AT LEAST MARGINAL INSTABILITY
WILL BE PRESENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SUGGESTING SOME RISK OF GUSTY
WINDS IN THE STRONGEST CELLS.  HOWEVER...WEAKENING WIND FIELDS WITH
TIME...LIMITED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE...AND THE DEPARTING UPPER SYSTEM
SUGGEST THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS LOW.

...CAROLINAS/TENNESSEE...
FARTHER NORTH...A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
WILL PERSIST IN VICINITY OF THE COLD POOL NEAR THE UPPER TROUGH
AXIS.  NO SEVERE STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED IN THIS REGION.

..HART/CONIGLIO.. 12/06/2016

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z


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